Sökning: "Market forecasting"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 321 uppsatser innehållade orden Market forecasting.

  1. 1. Dynamik och tillförlighet i finansiell prognostisering : En analys av djupinlärningsmodeller och deras reaktion på marknadsmanipulation

    M1-uppsats, KTH/Hälsoinformatik och logistik

    Författare :Aya Zawahri; Nanci Ibrahim; [2024]
    Nyckelord :LOB; market manipulation; spoofing; layering; DeepLOB; DeepLOB-Attention; TCN; DeepLOB-seq2seq; DTNN; ITCH; parsing.; LOB; marknadsmanipulation; spoofing; layering; DeepLOB; DeepLOB-Attention; TCN; DeepLOB-seq2seq; DTNN; ITCH; parsing.;

    Sammanfattning : Under åren har intensiv forskning pågått för att förbättra maskininlärningsmodellers förmåga att förutse marknadsrörelser. Trots detta har det, under finanshistorien, inträffat flera händelser, såsom "Flash-crash", som har påverkat marknaden och haft dramatiska konsekvenser för prisrörelserna. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Identifying the Underlying Factors Causing the Changes in the European Container Shipping Market in the Post-COVID-19 Era

    Master-uppsats, Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Författare :Bethmage Dinuka Piyath Perera; Quoc Nhat Do; [2023-07-03]
    Nyckelord :Container shipping; freight market challenges; COVID-19; supply chain disruptions; freight capacity consolidation; supply chain transformation; exploratory factor analysis;

    Sammanfattning : The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted global supply chains and container shipping markets in several ways, leading to changes in demand, supply, and price. Therefore, identifying and understanding the underlying factors that have contributed to these changes is crucial for stakeholders in the industry and policymakers seeking to mitigate the negative effects of the pandemic on global trade, particularly in Europe. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Forecasting Volatility of Electricity Intraday Log Returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score Models

    Master-uppsats, Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Författare :Gustav Veres; Philip Ahlfridh; [2023-06-29]
    Nyckelord :;

    Sammanfattning : We forecast volatility of electricity intraday log returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. We extend our GAS models with variables representing the difference between the public’s expectation of weather and energy load and the actual outcome using a restricted ARMA(4,4) model. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Svenska Bankers Prognosutveckling för Kreditförluster under Införandet av IFRS 9 : En kvantitativ studie av redovisningsstandardens inverkan på svenska banker

    Kandidat-uppsats, Södertörns högskola

    Författare :Nour Al-Fakhoury; Nour-Eddin Shaker; [2023]
    Nyckelord :IFRS 9; Förväntade kreditförluster; konstaterade kreditförluster; svenska banker; medelstora banker; små banker;

    Sammanfattning : This study examines the impact of the transition from IAS 39 to IFRS 9 on the credit loss forecasting ability of banks, and its implications for value relevance. The implementation of IFRS 9 brought about a shift from the Incurred Credit Loss (ICL) model to the Expected Credit Loss (ECL) model, emphasizing forward-looking information. LÄS MER

  7. 5. Does the Level of Swedish Economic Policy Uncertainty Help Forecast Excess Returns on the Swedish Stock Market?

    Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Gustav Jacobsson; Oscar Klersell; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Economic Policy Uncertainty EPU ; Excess stock returns; Out-of-sample forecasting; Random walk; Sweden;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis examines whether the level of Swedish economic policy uncertainty (EPU) can predict excess returns on the Swedish stock market. We run out-of-sample forecasting using an EPU-based predictive model constructed with the official Swedish EPU index developed by Armelius et al. (2017). LÄS MER