Putin och det andra Krimkriget

Sammanfattning: This essay is a rational choice study sculptured after Allison, Zelikows famous study, Essence of decision. It debates the options Putin had when he annexed Ukraine’s, Crimean peninsula? We try to put ourselves into the shoes of Putin to see what he sees and to make an investigation. What else could he have done and for what reasons? There are four options debated, 1, to annex Crimea with illegal troops, (the real events), 2, to annex southern and eastern Ukraine right away, 3, to claim a referendum, 4, to do nothing. It´s a decision theory study, which is supposed to cast light upon the historical frame of Putin’s annexation of Crimea. The study is targeting diplomacy, military, security and economic impact, as a fountain of decision making. Putin is characterized as a realistic actor who in his mind has the moral obligation to “cheat” within the international institutions and who is aiming for Russia’s maximum good: This is the playground of the realistic actor in an age of diplomacy and communications.