Sökning: "EGARCH models"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 60 uppsatser innehållade orden EGARCH models.

  1. 1. Volatility Forecasting - A comparative study of different forecasting models.

    Kandidat-uppsats,

    Författare :Emil Sturesson; Anton Wennström; [2023-06-29]
    Nyckelord :Volatility; GARCH; EGARCH; t-GAS; HAR-RV; Realized GARCH; Volatility Forecasting; Volatility Modelling;

    Sammanfattning : This study evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different volatility mod- els. When applied to XACT OMXS30, we use GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), and t- GAS(1,1) to forecast squared daily returns while Realized GARCH(1,1) and HAR-RV are used to forecast Realized Variance. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Forecasting Volatility of Ether- An empirical evaluation of volatility models and their capacity to forecast one-day-ahead volatility of Ether

    Master-uppsats, Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Författare :Johannes Marmdal; Adam Törnqvist; [2023-06-29]
    Nyckelord :Forecast; Volatility; Ether; GARCH; EWMA; SMA;

    Sammanfattning : This study evaluates the performance of volatility models in forecasting one-day-ahead volatility of the cryptocurrency Ether. The selected models are: GARCH, EGARCH, GJR-GARCH, SMA9, SMA20, and EWMA. We investigate both in-sample performance and out-of-sample performance. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Value at Risk Estimation using GARCH Family Models: A Comparison of Different Specifications and Distributions.

    Kandidat-uppsats, Göteborgs universitet/Institutionen för nationalekonomi med statistik

    Författare :Khaled Jrideh; [2023-05-26]
    Nyckelord :;

    Sammanfattning : The objective of this study is to compare the performance of different GARCH models, under various conditional distribution assumptions, to predict one-day-ahead Value-at-Risk (VaR) for three stocks: Swedbank, Handelsbanken, and SEB over the Covid-19 period. The performance is evaluated using Kupiec, Christoffersen tests and the Quadratic Loss. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Empirical Analysis of Joint Quantile and Expected Shortfall Regression Backtests

    Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Sannolikhetsteori och kombinatorik

    Författare :Viktor Ågren; [2023]
    Nyckelord :risk metric; expected shortfall; backtest; value at risk; empirical analysis;

    Sammanfattning : In this work, we look into the practical applicability of three joint quantile and expected shortfall regression backtests. The strict, auxiliary, and intercept ESR backtests are applied to the historical log returns of the OMX Stockholm 30 market-weight price index. LÄS MER

  7. 5. Volatility & The Black Swan : Investigation of Univariate ARCH-models, HARRV and Implied Volatility in Nasdaq100 amid Covid19

    Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Karl Tingstedt; [2022]
    Nyckelord :SV; ARCH; GARCH; TARCH; EGARCH; HARRV; IV; RV; Integrated Volatility; TINA;

    Sammanfattning : Covid19 hit the world’s financial markets by surprise in March 2020 and ensuing volatility marked an end to the prior low-volatility environment. This Black Swan engendered numerous publications establishing how the equity market responded to the exogenous shock. LÄS MER