Sökning: "Negative binomial"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 59 uppsatser innehållade orden Negative binomial.

  1. 1. Modeling Stoppage Time as a Convolution of Negative Binomials

    Uppsats för yrkesexamina på avancerad nivå, Uppsala universitet/Avdelningen för systemteknik

    Författare :Råvan Talani; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Machine learning; negative binomial; convolution; stoppage time; injury time; extra time; football;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis develops and evaluates a probabilistic model that estimates the stoppage time in football. Stoppage time represents the additional minutes of play given after the original matchtime is over. It is crucial in determining the course of events during the remainder of a match, thereby affecting the odds of live sports betting. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Pricing and Modeling Heavy Tailed Reinsurance Treaties - A Pricing Application to Risk XL Contracts

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Författare :Ormia Abdullah Mohamad; Anna Westin; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Reinsurance; Extreme Value Theory; POT-model; Hill estimator; Risk XL contracts; Generalized Pareto distribution; Method of Moments.; Återförsäkring; Extremevärdesteori; POT-modellen; Hill estimatorn; Risk XL kontrakt; generella Paretofördelningen; Momentmetoden.;

    Sammanfattning : To estimate the risk of a loss occurring for insurance takers is a difficult task in the insurance industry. It is an even more difficult task to price the risk for reinsurance companies which insures the primary insurers. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Governing with the Commons : A quantitative study on the effects of Civil Society on Rebel Governance

    Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning

    Författare :Theodor Stensö; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Rebel Governance; Civil Society; Conflict Intensity; Ideology; Grassroot;

    Sammanfattning : What is the impact of civil society on rebel governance? The field of rebel governance has gained increased attention recently, but few researchers highlight the interactive relationship between rebels and local communities. As the principal organisational tool for civilian populations, civil society has been largely overlooked. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Forecasting Football Corner Odds: Statistical Modelling, Betting Strategies and Assessing Market Efficiency

    Master-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Författare :Gustav Pålsson; Marcus Laurens; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Mathematics and Statistics;

    Sammanfattning : Statistical modelling could be included in a betting strategy where the value of a bet is assessed by comparing model predictions and market odds. This thesis presents several models based on statistical learning methods for predicting the total number of corners in a football match. LÄS MER

  7. 5. Civil war and third-party non-combatants : Understanding the logic of violence against humanitarian aid workers in the setting of intrastate conflict

    Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning

    Författare :Malika Rakhmankulova; [2022]
    Nyckelord :conflict; aid workers;

    Sammanfattning : Attacks against humanitarian aid workers are a concerning global trend that has been noted since the end of the Cold War. Despite this, limited research is available that combines overt theoretical testing with empirical procedures. LÄS MER