Sökning: "Sannolikhet för Fallissemang"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 6 uppsatser innehållade orden Sannolikhet för Fallissemang.

  1. 1. Applying the Shadow Rating Approach: A Practical Review

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Författare :Viktor Barry; Carl Stenfelt; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Shadow Rating; probability of default; low default portfolio; credit risk; statistical learning; financial regulation; Basel; Pluto and Tasche; Skuggrating; sannolikhet av fallissemang; lågfallissemangsportfölj; kreditrisk; statistisk inlärning; finansiella regelverk; Basel; Pluto och Tasche;

    Sammanfattning : The combination of regulatory pressure and rare but impactful defaults together comprise the domain of low default portfolios, which is a central and complex topic that lacks clear industry standards. A novel approach that utilizes external data to create a Shadow Rating model has been proposed by Ulrich Erlenmaier. LÄS MER

  2. 2. Deep Learning Approach for Time- to-Event Modeling of Credit Risk

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Författare :Mehnaz Kazi; Natalija Stanojlovic; [2022]
    Nyckelord :Survival Analysis; Credit Risk; Credit Scoring; Time-To-Event; Default Probability; Överlevnadsanalys; Kreditrisk; Kreditprövning; Tid-till-utfall; Sannolikhet för fallissemang;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis explores how survival analysis models performs for default risk prediction of small-to-medium sized enterprises (SME) and investigates when survival analysis models are preferable to use. This is examined by comparing the performance of three deep learning models in a survival analysis setting, a traditional survival analysis model Cox Proportional Hazards, and a traditional credit risk model logistic regression. LÄS MER

  3. 3. Predicting Subprime Customers' Probability of Default Using Transaction and Debt Data from NPLs

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Författare :Lai-Yan Wong; [2021]
    Nyckelord :Credit Scoring Model; Probability of Default; Payment Behaviour; Subprime Customer; Non-performing Loan; Logistic Regression; Regularization; Feature Selection; Kreditvärdighetsmodell; Sannolikhet för Fallissemang; Betalningsbeteende; Högriskkunder; Nödlidandelån; Logistik Regression; Regularisering; Variabelselektion;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis aims to predict the probability of default (PD) of non-performing loan (NPL) customers using transaction and debt data, as a part of developing credit scoring model for Hoist Finance. Many NPL customers face financial exclusion due to default and therefore are considered as bad customers. LÄS MER

  4. 4. Estimation of Probability of Default in Low Default Portfolios

    Master-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Författare :Linnéa Gerhardsson; Nina Castor; [2017]
    Nyckelord :Probability of default; PD; Low default portfolio; LDP; BCR; Bayesian; Vasicek; Monte Carlo; subportfolios; grade level estimates.; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Sammanfattning : Estimation of probability of default (PD) is a fundamental part of credit risk modeling, and estimation of PD in low default portfolios is a common issue for banks and financial institutions. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision requires banks and financial institutions to add an additional margin of conservatism to its PD estimates in the case of insufficient data, as in low default portfolios with few default observations. LÄS MER

  5. 5. Modeling credit risk for an SME loan portfolio: An Error Correction Model approach

    Master-uppsats, Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Författare :Jonathan Lindgren; [2017]
    Nyckelord :Error Correction Model; Credit risk; Risk management; Regression; Econometrics; Mathematical analysis; Probability of Default; Loss Given Default; Finance; Mathematical modeling; Kreditrisk; Risk hantering; Finans; Ekonometri; Matematisk modellering; Sannolikhet för Fallissemang; Förlust givet Fallissemang;

    Sammanfattning : Sedan den globala finanskrisen 2008 har flera stora regelverk införts för att säkerställa att banker hanterar risker på sunt sätt. Bland dessa regelverk är Basel II som infört kapitalkrav för kreditrisk som baseras på Sannolikhet för Fallissemang och Förlust Givet Fallissemang. LÄS MER