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1. 1. American Football : A Markovian Approach

   Kandidat-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistik

   Författare :Joakim Larsson; Henrik Sjökvist; [2016]
   Nyckelord :Markov Theory; Probabilistic Forecasting; Logit Regression; American Football; Sports Betting; Sports Science; Markovteori; Probabilistisk Prognostisering; Logitregression; Amerikansk Fotboll; Sportbetting; Sportvetenskap;

   Sammanfattning : This bachelor's thesis in applied mathematics & industrial economics is an attempt to model drives in American football using Markov chains. The transition matrix is obtained through logit regression analysis on historical data from the NFL. Different outcomes of drives are modelled as separate absorbing states in the Markov chain. LÄS MER