Sökning: "combinational forecasting"

Hittade 1 uppsats innehållade orden combinational forecasting.

  1. 1. AUTOMATED OPTIMAL FORECASTING OF UNIVARIATE MONITORING PROCESSES : Employing a novel optimal forecast methodology to define four classes of forecast approaches and testing them on real-life monitoring processes

    Master-uppsats, Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Författare :Stanislav Razroev; [2019]
    Nyckelord :predictions; forecasting; optimal forecasting; forecast classes; optimality rules; ensemble forecasting; state switching; combinational forecasting; optimality framework; exponential smoothing; ARIMA; ARMA; SARIMA; Double-Seasonal Holt-Winters; time series; Wikipedia; Wikimedia; Wikipedia data; Twitter; Twitter data; electricity data; monitoring processes; monitoring process; monitoring; error metrics; outliers; missing values;

    Sammanfattning : This work aims to explore practical one-step-ahead forecasting of structurally changing data, an unstable behaviour, that real-life data connected to human activity often exhibit. This setting can be characterized as monitoring process. LÄS MER