Sökning: "energy forecasting"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 157 uppsatser innehållade orden energy forecasting.

  1. 1. Predicting Electricity Consumption with ARIMA and Recurrent Neural Networks

    Kandidat-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Författare :Klara Enerud; [2024]
    Nyckelord :time series forecasting; ARIMA; recurrent neural networks; LSTM; electricity forecasting; EED forecasting;

    Sammanfattning : Due to the growing share of renewable energy in countries' power systems, the need for precise forecasting of electricity consumption will increase. This paper considers two different approaches to time series forecasting, autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models and recurrent neural networks (RNNs). LÄS MER

  2. 2. Long-term Forecasting Heat Use in Sweden's Residential Sector using Genetic Algorithms and Neural Network

    Master-uppsats, Högskolan i Halmstad/Akademin för företagande, innovation och hållbarhet

    Författare :Alireza Momtaz; Mohammad Befkin; [2024]
    Nyckelord :Genetic Algorithm; Neural Network; Forecasting; Heat Use;

    Sammanfattning : In this study, the parameters of population, gross domestic product (GDP), heat price, U-value, and temperature have been used to predict heat consumption for Sweden till 2050. It should be noted that the heat consumption has been considered for multi-family houses. Most multi-family houses (MFH) get their primary heat from district heating (DH). LÄS MER

  3. 3. Forecasting Volatility of Electricity Intraday Log Returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score Models

    Master-uppsats, Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Författare :Gustav Veres; Philip Ahlfridh; [2023-06-29]
    Nyckelord :;

    Sammanfattning : We forecast volatility of electricity intraday log returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. We extend our GAS models with variables representing the difference between the public’s expectation of weather and energy load and the actual outcome using a restricted ARMA(4,4) model. LÄS MER

  4. 4. Improvement of Wind Power Forecasting and Prediction of Production Losses Caused by Ice Formation on Wind Turbine Blades : - A Machine Learning Approach

    Uppsats för yrkesexamina på avancerad nivå, Umeå universitet/Institutionen för fysik

    Författare :Emelie Sjökvist; [2023]
    Nyckelord :;

    Sammanfattning : In the ongoing climate crisis, transitioning to renewable energy sources is essential to manage the increasing energy demand. One such renewable energy source is the weather-dependent energy source, wind power. Many wind farms are located in Cold Climate (CC) regions, known for their vast potential for wind power production. LÄS MER

  5. 5. Forecasting Swedish FCR-D Prices using Penalized Multivariate Time Series Techniques

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen; Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Författare :Franz Lennart Wunderlich; Sebastian Brugger; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Swedish Energy Market; Multivariate Time-Series; Lasso; Forecasting; Noise Filtering; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : The Swedish energy market is becoming more and more sustainable, with an increasing volume and number of diversified energy sources being continuously added to the mix. To stabilize the grid frequency, auctions are held to offer energy providers incentives to produce or consume energy on short notice. LÄS MER