Sökning: "forecast bias"
Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 33 uppsatser innehållade orden forecast bias.
1. The pricing accuracy of the unbiased RIV model
D-uppsats, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för redovisning och finansieringSammanfattning : This paper aims to investigate whether the pricing accuracy of the RIV model is improved with unbiased accounting. The introduction of the Feltham-Ohlson model has left researchers with an eagerness to propose a RIV model with high pricing accuracy. LÄS MER
2. Are expert judgments a reliable tool for predicting farmer and food consumer decisions? : experimental evidence from a forecasting survey
Master-uppsats, SLU/Dept. of EconomicsSammanfattning : Often trusted to provide sound recommendations and advice, experts from academia and industry are often relied upon throughout industries around the globe, and the food and agriculture industry is no different. We therefore ask, how accurate are these experts, and are they able to accurately forecast behavior from varying food chain actors such as farmers and consumers? Do these experts have a preconceived bias to one side or the other? These questions become increasingly important when considering policy developments such as the EU Farm to Fork strategy, which seek to integrate the consumer-facing food industry and the producer-forward agriculture industry, two policy realms that have historically remained relatively independent of one another. LÄS MER
3. Forecasting post COVID-19 : How to improve forecasting models’ performance when training data has been aected by exceptional events like COVID-19 pandemic?
Master-uppsats, KTH/Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS)Sammanfattning : Almost every company around the world were aected by the COVID-19 crisis and the government measures that were taken to slow the spread of the virus. The impact the crisis had on the economy caused the appearance of anomalies in the data collected by companies : such as abnormal trend, seasonality etc. LÄS MER
4. Evaluation of probabilistic forecasts in Uppsala and its potential use in winter road maintenance
Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Luft-, vatten- och landskapsläraSammanfattning : Efficient winter road maintenance is crucial for safety and societal function during the winter months in Sweden. This report aims to evaluate the MetCoOp ensemble system CMEPS and investigate its potential use as a basis for formulating criteria for snow removal that accounts for forecasted weather. LÄS MER
5. Företagsspecifika riskpremier : En redogörelse för hur svenska analytikerhus och banker jobbar med ytterligare avkastningskrav
Magister-uppsats, Linköpings universitet/Institutionen för ekonomisk och industriell utveckling; Linköpings universitet/Filosofiska fakultetenSammanfattning : Bakgrund: Analytikerhus och banker har i dagsläget en betydande roll för värderingen av företag och allmänhetens investeringsbeslut som följer dessa aktörers råd. Oavsett värderingsmetod så har analytikern en stor frihet i värderingsprocessen och det finns mycket möjligheter för subjektiva bedömningar och antaganden. LÄS MER
