Sökning: "forecast modelling"
Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 76 uppsatser innehållade orden forecast modelling.
1. Volatility Forecasting - A comparative study of different forecasting models.
Kandidat-uppsats,Sammanfattning : This study evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different volatility mod- els. When applied to XACT OMXS30, we use GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), and t- GAS(1,1) to forecast squared daily returns while Realized GARCH(1,1) and HAR-RV are used to forecast Realized Variance. LÄS MER
2. On modelling OMXS30 stocks - comparison between ARMA models and neural networks
Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Matematiska institutionenSammanfattning : This thesis compares the results of the performance of the statistical Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and the neural network Long short-term model (LSTM) on a data set, which represents a market index. Both models are used to predict monthly, daily, and minute close prices of the OMX Stockholm 30 Index. LÄS MER
3. Volatility Modelling in the Swedish and US Fixed Income Market : A comparative study of GARCH, ARCH, E-GARCH and GJR-GARCH Models on Government Bonds
Kandidat-uppsats, Linköpings universitet/Nationalekonomi; Linköpings universitet/Filosofiska fakultetenSammanfattning : Volatility is an important variable in financial markets, risk management and making investment decisions. Different volatility models are beneficial tools to use when predicting future volatility. The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of various volatility models, including ARCH, GARCH and extensions of the GARCH framework. LÄS MER
4. Anticipating Glacier Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs): an impact-based forecasting framework for managing GLOF risks in Nepal.
Master-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Avdelningen för Riskhantering och SamhällssäkerhetSammanfattning : Glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) are an increasingly documented threat across the Himalayan region, wherein Nepal is situated. GLOFs involve a rapid discharge of water from a lake situated at the side, front, within, beneath, or on the surface of a glacier. LÄS MER
5. Portfolio Risk Modelling in Venture Debt
Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistikSammanfattning : This thesis project is an experimental study on how to approach quantitative portfolio credit risk modelling in Venture Debt portfolios. Facing a lack of applicable default data from ArK and publicly available sets, as well as seeking to capture companies that fail to service debt obligations before defaulting per se, we present an approach to risk modeling based on trends in revenue. LÄS MER