Sökning: "futures research"

Visar resultat 6 - 10 av 127 uppsatser innehållade orden futures research.

  1. 6. Predictive Modeling and Statistical Inference for CTA returns : A Hidden Markov Approach with Sparse Logistic Regression

    Master-uppsats, Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Författare :Oskar Fransson; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Probability theory; Statistical inference; finance; CTA; managed futures; machine learning; statistical learning; stochastic process; sparse logistic regression; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Hidden Markov model;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis focuses on predicting trends in Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), also known as trend-following hedge funds. The paper applies a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for classifying trends. Additionally, by incorporating additional features, a regularized logistic regression model is used to enhance prediction capability. LÄS MER

  3. 7. Poland: The Historical Underdog and Contemporary Protector of Ukraine : A Narrative Analysis on Ontological Security and Crisis in the Case of Poland

    Master-uppsats, Försvarshögskolan

    Författare :Isabel Gråby; [2023]
    Nyckelord :ontological security; biographical narrative; narrative analysis; Poland; Ukraine; international relations; crisis;

    Sammanfattning : In recent years, more research has been conducted to explain state behavior in relation to crises. Poland has taken a conservative turn since 2015, distancing itself from mainstream European strategies. This is explained by self-identity needs stemming from historical experiences and envisioned futures. LÄS MER

  4. 8. Extracting Growth Expectations from Financial Markets: An Investigation into the Dividend Market Dynamics

    D-uppsats, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Författare :Gösta Lycke; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Dividend futures; GDP growth forecasting; Economic shocks; Market expectations; Financial market derivatives;

    Sammanfattning : Dividend futures, reflecting the economic surplus, can be used as a forecasting tool for dividend and GDP growth. Building on prior research, I broaden the scope of analysis by encompassing a range of countries and evaluate the impact of shocks such as a military conflict on dividend and GDP growth expectations. LÄS MER

  5. 9. Unga vuxnas syn på offentligt finansierade sociala medier : Potentiella syften, funktioner och skillnader jämfört med kommersiella plattformar

    Kandidat-uppsats, KTH/Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS)

    Författare :Elin Lundqvist; Erik Nordmark; [2023]
    Nyckelord :sociala medier; public service; framtidsstudier; participatory futures; kontrafaktiska scenarier;

    Sammanfattning : As many of the issues associated with large commercial social media platforms can be attributed to their business models, it is important to explore platforms with alternative business models. Therefore, this study explores how young adults, aged 18-30, envision a Swedish publicly funded social media platform in terms of its purpose and functionality, the difference compared to commercial platforms, and how young adults view its potential implementation in Sweden in 2023. LÄS MER

  7. 10. Vägen från vision till verklighet : Aktörers arbete för en socialt hållbar stadsutveckling i Kista kontorsområde

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Urbana och regionala studier

    Författare :Vendela Andersson; Johanna Billberg; [2023]
    Nyckelord :social sustainability; Kista; visions; mixed-used development; urban development; social hållbarhet; Kista; visioner; blandstad; stadsutveckling;

    Sammanfattning : Kista kontorsområde är ett etablerat Tech-arbetsplatsområde i norra Stockholm som upplevde sin storhetstid under 90-talet. Idag ser fastighetsägarna anledning att undersöka hur området kan utvecklas för att möta förändrade behov. Det finns flera aktörer som vill vara med i en socialt hållbar utveckling av stadsdelen. LÄS MER