Sökning: "hindsight bias"

Hittade 5 uppsatser innehållade orden hindsight bias.

  1. 1. "I knew it would happen..." - What are the risks organizations in Northern Sweden face when deciding to digitalize?

    Kandidat-uppsats, Umeå universitet/Företagsekonomi

    Författare :Marcel Zingel; [2023]
    Nyckelord :digitalization risks; decision-making; risk perception; hindsight bias; overconfidence; employee involvement;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis aims to understand the risks faced by organizations operating in Northern Sweden when making decisions about digitalization. Through empirical analysis and discussion, the study investigates the influence of hindsight bias on risk perception and the decision-making process. LÄS MER

  2. 2. Better Sorry Than Safe? : An evaluation of Scandinavian acquirers participating in European mergers and acquisitions between 2010-2017

    Master-uppsats, Jönköping University/IHH, Företagsekonomi

    Författare :Anton Joakimson; Olle Lyrfors; [2021]
    Nyckelord :M A; mergers and acquisitions; Scandinavia; ESG; ESG-score; ESG-ranking; public traded company; financial performance; ROE; ROA; ROIC; EBIT-margin; merger; acquisition; hubris hypothesis; hindsight bias; competition authority; key ratio;

    Sammanfattning : Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are a popular way of growing a company. This is challenged by previous research that shows that an M&A-transaction generally harms the financial key metrics of the acquiring company. LÄS MER

  3. 3. Hur tänker din fiende?

    Kandidat-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen

    Författare :Johannes Jörgensen; [2015]
    Nyckelord :Intelligence Analysis; Heuristics; Cognitive bias; Law and Political Science; Social Sciences;

    Sammanfattning : It have been posited that one of the greatest challenges for intelligence analysts is to correctly understand the enemy. Is this possible, which are the traps and can the process be improved? In this essay we will try to answer these questions by applying theories from cognitive psychology, namely those of heuristics and cognitive biases. LÄS MER

  4. 4. Black Swan Investing: An empirical study in context of efficient markets

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Aleksis Tastsidis Olsson; Pontus Löfberg; [2014]
    Nyckelord :Black Swans; Efficient market hypothesis; Fat-tails; Kelly criterion; Outliers; Trading strategy; Unknown unknowns; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to assess the sustainability of the efficient market theorem when accounting for extreme events, which are of the essence in a Black Swan investment philosophy. Methodology: Quantitative approach. LÄS MER

  5. 5. Language Bias in Accident Investigation

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Avdelningen för Brandteknik; Lunds universitet/Avdelningen för Riskhantering och Samhällssäkerhet

    Författare :Crista Shannon Vesel; [2012]
    Nyckelord :human causal attribution; SAIG; Serious Accident Investigation Guide; USFS; Forest Service; accident investigation; accident report; agentive language; FLMU06; Social Sciences;

    Sammanfattning : This paper examined the language and content of the U.S. Forest Service's Serious Accident Investigation Guide (SAIG), which is used to investigate what the organization terms 'serious wildland fire accidents'. LÄS MER