Sökning: "party-preference"
Hittade 5 uppsatser innehållade ordet party-preference.
1. Comparing forecast combinations to traditional time series forcasting models : An application into Swedish public opinion
Kandidat-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionenSammanfattning : The objective of this paper is to retrospectively evaluate forecast models for polling data, to be used prospectively for the Swedish general election in 2022. One of the simplest ways of forecasting an election result is through opinion polls, and using the latest observation as the forecast. LÄS MER
2. Den fria viljans politik : En kvantitativ studie om sambandet mellan tro på fri vilja och politiska uppfattningar
Kandidat-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionenSammanfattning : Is there a relationship between how one views free will – a concept related to issues of moral responsibility and agency – and one’s political opinions? To answer this question, I constructed a survey based on questions from the SOM Institute’s opinion polls and the FAD-Plus index for measuring free will beliefs. The survey asked a sample of 348 Swedish speakers about their views on free will, political ideology, party preferences, and policy preferences regarding punishment and redistribution. LÄS MER
3. Knowing and Loathing : A quantitative study on political knowledge and affective polarization
Kandidat-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionenSammanfattning : Affective polarization is a relatively new concept that refers to feelings of sympathy towards partisans of a person's own political party preference and antipathy towards those who vote for and identify with opposing parties. This thesis aims to answer the questions if those who know more about politics also are more affectively polarized, and whether there is a difference between knowing about different types of political facts, and the predicted level of affective polarization. LÄS MER
4. Did the fascists get you? : The New Right's influence on right-wing populism
Kandidat-uppsats, Linnéuniversitetet/Institutionen för samhällsstudier (SS)Sammanfattning : An experimental survey (N = 415) is used to evaluate fascist qualifications within party preference groups, regarding susceptibility to a neofascist communication style and gravitation toward fascist ideas. Testing the notion by fascism expert Roger Griffin, that the influence of the neofascist intellectual movement the New Right (la Nouvelle Droite) is successfully shaping the 21st century wave of right-wing populism, it is hypothesized that sympathizers of the Swedish right-wing populism equivalent (the Sweden Democrats) are more susceptible to a neofascist communication style and more preconditioned to agree with covertly fascist ideas (as based on the writings of the Nouvelle Droite). LÄS MER
5. Margin of Error - A study of the use and misuse of polls in the Swedish media
Kandidat-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen; Lunds universitet/Mänskliga rättigheterSammanfattning : The purpose of this thesis is to analyse how the Swedish newspapers' use of party-preference polls has changed over time. I study 246 articles published by Göteborgs-Posten, Dagens Nyheter, Aftonbladet and Expressen, and compare the time-period 1994-1996 with 2010-2012. LÄS MER
