Sökning: "predictive index"
Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 70 uppsatser innehållade orden predictive index.
1. Unveiling the Predictive Power
Kandidat-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionenSammanfattning : To obtain excessive returns on the stock market, investors should be able to effectively forecast what drives the fluctuations of the stock market. The usage of macroeconomic factors as indicators for stock market performances has been utilized more profoundly in recent times. LÄS MER
2. Does the Level of Swedish Economic Policy Uncertainty Help Forecast Excess Returns on the Swedish Stock Market?
Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionenSammanfattning : This thesis examines whether the level of Swedish economic policy uncertainty (EPU) can predict excess returns on the Swedish stock market. We run out-of-sample forecasting using an EPU-based predictive model constructed with the official Swedish EPU index developed by Armelius et al. (2017). LÄS MER
3. Forecasting gold returns using principal component analysis from a large number of predictors
Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen; Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionenSammanfattning : Gold is known in the financial world to be an important asset in unstable periods, especially as a hedge against inflation. If the gold price can be forecasted, it will be possible to strategically invest in gold rather than acquire it as a last-minute hedge against economic downturns. LÄS MER
4. Narratives in Central Banking - A Case Study on Federal Reserve Communication
C-uppsats, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomiSammanfattning : This paper investigates how Federal Reserve communication affects financial markets. This is done by constructing a sentiment index based on meeting minutes released by the Federal Open Market Committee. LÄS MER
5. Empirical investigation on the performance of a feed-forward artificial neural network on the Nordic stock markets
Master-uppsats, Göteborgs universitet/Graduate SchoolSammanfattning : In this paper, the authors have made an empirical investigation on the performance of a feed-forward artificial neural network (ANN) on the four main Nordic stock markets, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland. First, a benchmark OLS regression model is compared against an ANN model to see which model performs best in terms of predictive accuracy and has the least amount of error. LÄS MER