Momentum Strategy on the Swedish Large-Cap Market. : An Empirical Study of the Momentum Strategy on OMXS30

Detta är en Kandidat-uppsats från Stockholms universitet/Finansiering

Sammanfattning: This year (2018), it is 25 years since the Momentum Strategy was first scientifically described. Despite this, the cause of the effect has not surely been concluded although it has been empirically studied in several previous studies. It has been shown to be valid for different kinds of assets. Since the authors of this thesis are based in Stockholm they thought it would be interesting and relevant to study if the strategy is valid on the Swedish market. The stock data comes from the stocks which has been part of the OMXS30 at least once during the period of 2010-2018. This study has also utilised two different ways on how to quantitate the return of the different portfolios. The effect of the holding period has in this report been attempted to address. The holding period is the length of the period which assets should be enclosed in the portfolio. One of the quantitation methods compared the portfolios’ development each month. The other method was more like a window analysis, to evaluate a portfolio’s return if one decides to invest in that theory until all the invested funds has been turned over. The study finds that the Momentum Strategy with holding periods of 2, 3 and 4 months significantly outperforms the market. With a higher significance level (10%) Momentum Strategy portfolios with holding periods of 2-6 and 11-14 months are outperforming the market. With a larger sample size, it is possible that the results would have been more conclusive.

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