Hydropower Modelling of Continental Europe Using EMPS

Sammanfattning: Flexible hydropower plays a vital role when integrating large shares of variablerenewable generation in the power system. This project proposes a method forcreating a stochastic model for hydropower in Continental Europe using EMPS, apower market simulator software that specialises on hydrothermal power systems.The model is intended to be used in a power market analysis context, to assess thehydropower behaviour in Continental Europe in the medium and long term.The first step to create the model was to gather data from multiple sources regardinghydropower stations and reservoirs located in Continental Europe. The gathereddata was built and unified into a geographical information system to provide visualanalysis and facilitate performing of different operations and algorithms. Thecountries under study were split into different areas depending on the water basinsand other location factors. Representative inflow series were created for each area,and these were fed directly into EMPS. The stations and reservoirs were aggregatedper area and the inputs required by EMPS were calculated using a model based onhistorical data and an optimisation process.The model provides results for 45 different weather scenarios. The hydropowergeneration and reservoir content for each country were validated using historicaldata. In general, the results obtained provide a satisfactory representation of thehydropower in the region under study. Fine tuning is still required to improve theresults, but this project successfully provides a solid method to create the core ofthe stochastic hydropower model of Continental Europe in EMPS.