Prognostisering av Fjärrvärmebehov : -En jämförelse av fastigheter med olikastor varmvattenanvändning

Sammanfattning: This thesis aims to investigate the differences in diurnal and annual use of districtheating for two kind of heat users with different amount of warm water usage. Thefirst user is a hotel including spa facilities that uses a large amount of warm water, thesecond user is an office building that has a very low usage of warm water.The aim is to develop and validate methods for forecasting district heat use onvarious timescales. The average daily temperature for each month is shown to benormally distributed and average temperatures are therefore suitable for long-termforecasting. It is also shown that there is a clear linear relationship between lowerout-door temperature and higher use of district heating power. The thesis shows thatthe hotel will have a different power signature for their district heating compared tothe office that use a relative low amount of warm water.Short term forecasts, with a horizon of 10 days, are made for both the hotel andoffice building. As a result of the forecasts it is shown that the it is easier todetermine when the peak district heating power outtake will occur for the buildingwith a high amount of domestic hot water usage. However, forecasts for total diurnalheat use are equally accurate for the investigated buildings