Sveriges framtida befolkningsstrukturer

Sammanfattning: The most central for the population to grow is the fertility rate. When the birth rate is not the most central for an individual the conditions change the population growth. The fertility rate in Sweden is around 1,88 children per woman, although there has been a drastic increase in the population. This increase, which is a combination of the domestic birth rate and an external increase, has given a new pattern to the Swedish population structure. A country’s population structure gives a clear picture of how the population is built and together with its supply quota it is even possible to see the country’s future livelihoods. The purpose of this paper is based on various manipulations of the dependency ratio forecast several future population structures and its economic sustainability. With the help of state modelling in the form of Markov chains the forecasts and scenarios have created a ten-year period. A quantitative method of the data has been applied, and material gathered from the Central Statistics Office. The result demonstrates a current population in Sweden that is not sustainable, when looking at both the dependency ratio and the economic sustainability. The results of forecasts and the scenarios are presented in the different aspects with the help of tables and figures to clarify the data for the reader. Suggestions for further research highlight the aspect of a raw data set.