Bayesiansk flernivåanalys för att undersöka variationen i elevers trygghet i skolan : En studie baserad på enkäten Om mig

Sammanfattning: According to chapter 5, section 3 of the Swedish School Law (2010: 800), it is written that "The education should be designed in such a way that all pupils are assured of a school environment characterized by safety and education". Today's school students are our future and it is therefore important to analyze puplis’ safety at school. This study investigates whether there is variation between schools, between municipalities and between schools within municipalities in Östergötland regarding pupils' safety at school. This study also investigates which variables that can affect school safety. The reason for this study is to provide a basis for further work to improve puplis’ school safety. The study is based on survey responses from the survey Om mig, which was sent to secondary grade in elementary school and grade 2 in upper secondary school. Data is divided into three parts, where respondents from primary school are in one, respondents from upper secondary school in one and finally one data for the whole of Östergötland, which contains both respondents for elementary school and upper secondary school. The response variable is the question How often do you feel safe at school?, Where students could answer, Always, Often, Sometimes, Rarely or Never. The explanatory variables are variables related to the school and to the student's health, such as trustworthy friend, bullying, stress, support and help developing. In Bilaga1, all of the variables examined are described. This study uses a multilevel logistic regression. Parameters are estimated using Bayesian inferences with noninformative prior distributions. The response variable is converted to a binary variable, where Always and Often was merged, and Sometimes, Rarely and Never was merged. The result showed that there is a small variation in puplis’ safety at school between schools, between municipalities and between schools within municipalities for primary school, upper secondary school and the whole of Östergötland. It was also investigated which variables affect school safety, it proved to be very similar between elementary school and upper secondary school, including bullying, how often students experience good mood at school, and if the students feel that they are treated equally by the teachers have an effect on the puplis’ safety at school.