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Hittade 3 uppsatser som matchar ovanstående sökkriterier.

  1. 1. Forecasting Swedish Output Growth: : An Empirical Comparison of MIDAS Regressions and theRAMSES Model

    Magister-uppsats, Statistiska institutionen

    Författare :David Enocksson; [2012]
    Nyckelord :MIDAS; GDP; forecasting; Sveriges Riksbank;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis compares MIDAS regressions, introduced in Ghysels, Santa-Clara and Valkanov (2002), to the RAMSES model, used by the Riksbank,in forecasting Swedish quarterly output growth (GDP). Using Swedish GPDdata from 1993Q1 and onwards, we compare forecasts for the period 2010Q1to 2011Q4, and we show that for longer forecast horizons (commonly usedby the Riksbank for monetary policy decisions), such as two and three yearsahead in time, the MIDAS regressions clearly outperforms the RAMSESmodel. LÄS MER

  2. 2. Evaluating VaR with the ARCH/GARCH Family

    Kandidat-uppsats, Statistiska institutionen; Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :David Enocksson; Joakim Skoog; [2012]
    Nyckelord :Value-at-Risk; ARCH; GARCH; GJR-GARCH; Exchange rates; Conditional Variance; Volatility Forecasting;

    Sammanfattning : The aim of the thesis is to identify an appropriate model in forecasting Value-at-Risk on a morevolatile period than that one from which the model is estimated. We estimate 1-day-ahead and10-days-ahead Value-at-Risk on a number of exchange rates. LÄS MER

  3. 3. Organisation, Innovation, Productivity : An Exploratory Approach on Swedish Firms

    Kandidat-uppsats, Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Michael Bondegård; David Enocksson; [2011]
    Nyckelord :;

    Sammanfattning : Does Swedish firms’ organisational structure matter for innovation and productivity? The objective is to identify the most influential aspects in firms’ organisational structure concerning their propensity to innovate. We compose indices of both concepts to explain differences in productivity. LÄS MER