Sökning: "Sandra Lanros"

Hittade 1 uppsats innehållade orden Sandra Lanros.

  1. 1. The Use of Judgment Versus Models: Forecasting Accuracy in Sveriges Riksbank 2010-2014

    C-uppsats, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Författare :Emma Hamre; Sandra Lanros; [2020]
    Nyckelord :Forecasting; Central Banks; Judgment; Monetary Policy;

    Sammanfattning : In this study, we ask, how did the use of judgments and models affect the accuracy of the Riksbank's forecasts during the years 2010-2014? We examine the two components, judgment and models, that determine the Sveriges Riksbank's published forecasts for three macro indicators: GDP growth, CPIF inflation and the repo rate. The analysis compares the relative forecasting accuracy of the central bank's primary models, DSGE and BVAR, and the final published forecasts containing the judgmental adjustments of the Riksbank's Executive Board. LÄS MER