Modelling Renewable Energy Generation Forecasts on Luzon : A Minor Field Study on Statistical Inference Methods in the Environmental Sciences

Sammanfattning: This project applies statistical inference methods to energy data from the island of Luzon in the Philippines. The goal of the project is to explore different ways of creating predictive models and to understand the assumptions that are made about reality when a certain model is selected. The main models discussed in the project are Simple Linear Regression and Markov Chain Models. The predictions were used to assess Luzon's progress towards the sustainable development goals. All models considered in this project suggest that they are not on target to meet the sustainability goal.