Sökning: "Claudio Thegelström"

Hittade 1 uppsats innehållade orden Claudio Thegelström.

  1. 1. Utilizing logistic regression to apply the ELO system in forecasting Premier League odds

    Kandidat-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Författare :Claudio Thegelström; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Premier League; ELO system; Historical odds; Logistic regression; Unbiased prediction; Premier League; ELO systemet; Historiska odds; Logistisk regression; Opartiska prediktioner;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis provides insights into the creation of a model for predicting odds in the Premier League. It illustrates how the ELO system and historical odds, in combination with Monte Carlo simulations, can be implemented through logistic regression to predict odds in an unbiased way. LÄS MER