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1. Forecasting Euro Area Inflation - By using Sub-Components
D-uppsats, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomiSammanfattning : The aim of this paper is to see whether one can improve on the naive forecast of Euro Area inflation, where by naive forecast we mean the year-over-year inflation rate one-year ahead will be the same as the past year. Various model selection procedures are employed on an autoregressive-moving-average model and several Phillips curve based models. LÄS MER
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