Assessing the influence of macroeconomic variables on property prices in Sweden

Detta är en Kandidat-uppsats från KTH/Matematisk statistik

Sammanfattning: This paper examines the impact of several macroeconomic variables on property prices in Sweden. Linear regression is used to construct severalmathematical models relating the macroeconomic variables to property prices. Using methods of variables selection and goodness of fit measures,two final models are selected and subsequently compared, resulting in one final model. From this model, we conclude that GDP per capita, unemployment rate, inflation and repo interest rate have a significant relationship with property price changes in Sweden. Unemployment, GDPper capita, and inflation have positive relationships with property price changes, while repo interest rate has a negative relationship with propertyprice changes. However, as to what extent these variables affect property prices, no certain conclusions can be drawn from this study.

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