Equivalent Models for Hydropower Operation in Sweden

Sammanfattning: Hydropower systems often contain complex river systems which cause the simulations and analyses of a hydropower operation to be computationally heavy. The complex river system is referred to as something called a Detailed model. By creating a simpler model, denoted the Equivalent model, the computational issue could be circumvented. The purpose of this Equivalent model is to emulate the results of the Detailed model. This thesis computes the Equivalent model for a large hydropower system using Particle Swarm Optimisation- algorithm, then evaluates the Equivalent model performance. Simulations are performed on ten rivers in Sweden, representing four trading areas for one year, October 2017 – September 2018. Furthermore, the year is divided into Quarterly and Seasonal periods, to investigate whether the Equivalent model changes over time. The Equivalent model performance is evaluated based on the relative power difference and computational time compared to the Detailed model. The relative power difference is 4%23% between Equivalent and Detailed models, depending on the period and trading area, with the computational time can be reduced by more than 90%. Furthermore, the Equivalent model changes over time, suggesting that when the year is divided appropriately, the Equivalent model could perform better. The relative power difference results indicate that the Equivalent model performance can still be improved by dividing the periods more appropriately, other than Quarterly or Seasonal. Nevertheless, the results provide a satisfactory Equivalent model, based on the faster computation time and a reasonable relative power difference. Finally, the Equivalent model could be used as a foundation for further analyses and simulations.