Evaluating the Effect of School Closures on Societal Transmission of Covid-19: Evidence from Lower Secondary School Closures in Sweden

Detta är en Master-uppsats från Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

Författare: Sebastian Shaqiri; [2022-06-30]

Nyckelord: Covid-19; Sweden; school closures; synthetic control method;

Sammanfattning: In lightoftheCovid-19pandemic,oneofthemostcommoninterventions used bycountrieswastoshutdownschoolsinthehopeofmitigatingvirus transmission. However,theeffectivenessofschoolclosuresstilllacks consensus intheliteratureduetotheseeminglydifficulttaskofestimating the causaleffectofclosingschools.Thispapercontributestotheliterature byprovidingbothempiricalevidenceoftheeffectofschoolclosuresand methodologicalguidancetoisolatetheeffectofschoolclosures.Weexploit variationsinschoolclosuresacrossmunicipalitiesbyutilizinganovel dataset onSwedishlowersecondaryschoolclosurestoidentifythecausal effect usingasyntheticcontrolmethod.Wefindevidencethatclosing schoolshadasmallandsignificanteffectonthemunicipaltransmission of Covid-19.Inaddition,weshowthatonlyholdingallstudentsathome simultaneouslyyieldedmitigatingeffectsonthetransmission.

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