Sökning: "exchange rate forecasting"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 35 uppsatser innehållade orden exchange rate forecasting.

  1. 1. Relative or Discounted Cash Flow Valuation on the Fifty Largest US-Based Corporations on Nasdaq : Which of these valuation methods provides the most accurate valuation forecast?

    Kandidat-uppsats, Linnéuniversitetet/Institutionen för management (MAN)

    Författare :Marcus Öhrner; Otto Öhman; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Discounted Cash Flow; Dividend Discount Model; Earnings Before Interest and Taxes; Earnings Before Interest; Taxes; Depreciation and Amortization; Enterprise Value-to-Earnings Before Interest; Depreciation; and Amortization ratio; Free Cash Flow to Firm; Free Cash Flow to Equity; Mean Absolute Error; Price-to-Earnings Ratio; PricewaterhouseCoopers; Riskless Rate; Root Mean Square Error; Return on Capital; United States; Weighted Average Cost of Capital;

    Sammanfattning : The topic of this Bachelor Thesis is “Which of these valuation methods provides the most accurate valuation forecast”. Assuming that the year is 2020, the goal of this thesis is to forecast the future stock prices of the fifty largest US-based companies on the Nasdaq stock exchange for 2021 and 2022. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Forecasting gold returns using principal component analysis from a large number of predictors

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen; Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Författare :Fredrik Allgén; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Forecasting; PCA; Gold; ARMA; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : Gold is known in the financial world to be an important asset in unstable periods, especially as a hedge against inflation. If the gold price can be forecasted, it will be possible to strategically invest in gold rather than acquire it as a last-minute hedge against economic downturns. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Forecasting gold returns using principal component analysis from a large number of predictors

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Fredrik Allgén; [2022]
    Nyckelord :Forecasting; Gold; Principal Component Analysis; ARMA; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : Gold is known in the financial world to be an important asset in unstable periods, especially as a hedge against inflation. If the gold price can be forecasted, it will be possible to strategically invest in gold rather than acquire it as a last-minute hedge against economic downturns. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Forecasting Exchange Rate Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall: A GARCH-EVT Approach

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Christoffer Titov; [2022]
    Nyckelord :GARCH; Extreme Value Theory; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Exchange Rate Volatility; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis aims to investigate the accuracy of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasts of various GARCH-type models based on five currency exchange rate pairs. The GARCH models are employed under different conditional distributional assumptions, and extended using the two-stage Extreme Value Theory (EVT) approach of McNeil and Frey (2000). LÄS MER

  7. 5. Exchange Rate Risk and Forecasting

    Kandidat-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Ian Wallgren; [2022]
    Nyckelord :Exchange rate risk; exchange rate forecasting; Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average ARIMA ; Uncovered Interest Rate Parity UIRP ; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : Since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, the system of fixed exchange rates amongst principal industrial countries, in the early 1970s, a new era began, introducing the floating exchange rate regime. Since the inception of the floating rate regime, the general interest in forecasting exchange rate movements has grown considerably. LÄS MER