Temperature predictions using a digital twin and machine learning : Digital Twin model of an electric boat’s cooling system that provides artificial data for training of a machine learning model

Sammanfattning: The transportation industry stands for a big chunk of the worlds total carbon emissions. To counter this problem electric vehicles are seen as a good solution. However, these vehicles come at a greater cost and do not offer the same range as their less environmentally friendly counterpart. To lessen costs and development time when optimizing electric vehicles, simulations of the vehicles functionality can be utilized. One way of getting such simulations is to design a digital twin of the physical system. A digital twin is able to mimic the functionality of the physical system and can therefore offer well based indications of how a change in design will change the performance in reality. In this thesis a digital twin of the cooling system of an electric boat is designed with realistic results. Cooling systems in the scope of electric vehicles are of grave importance since the electric driveline becomes hot during use which can hinder performance of the vehicle. This is especially true for the high voltage batteries that tend to have quite a narrow range of temperatures within which performance is optimal. This thesis handles an attempt at optimizing the cooling system, replicated by the digital twin, by the use of a temperature predictive model. Three different machine learning models were tested and the resulting best model achieved a mean absolute error of 2.4 and a mean average percentage error of 5.7. However, the model was unable to foresee sudden temperature spikes and drops. A possible fix, that could not be tested in this thesis, would be to implement further input data such as driver profiles and/or GPS data with speed limits.