Sökning: "non-homogeneous hidden Markov models"

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  1. 1. Forecasting Election Results: A Bayesian Frequentist Comparison

    Kandidat-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Författare :Oldehed Erik; [2019]
    Nyckelord :Bayesian forecasting; frequentist forecasting; non-homogeneous hidden Markov models; autoregression; kernel smoothing; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Sammanfattning : We present a Bayesian and frequentist comparison when forecasting elections through polls. Our focus is on studying the differences of these approaches in forecasting elections. An evaluation of the fit is performed using the odds ratio. LÄS MER