Kognitiva förenklingar vid förmågebedömning - Identifiering av faktorer och metoder för att motverka dessa

Detta är en Master-uppsats från Lunds universitet/Avdelningen för Riskhantering och Samhällssäkerhet; Lunds universitet/Riskhantering (CI)

Sammanfattning: The aim of this thesis is to detect the influence from biases on capability assessments and methods to prevent them. Evaluation of the influence from biases are based on literature studies and interviews. The result suggests that some of the biases are more likely to occur depending on the context. Three biases occurred most frequently both in the literature studies and during the interviews and these were: anchoring, availability and overconfidence. There are many different methods to prevent each bias and the author suggests an overall method to prevent many biases at once. Further problems were identified during the interviews regarding the implementation and use of data. Two different methods are suggested to improve the approach to data, depending on the context.

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