En eventstudie om nyintroduktioner, under en pågående branschtrend av svenska Data/IT bolag på Nasdaq First North Growth Market

Sammanfattning: The phenomenon of underpricing is a matter often spoken about in previous research, there are also well known papers that touch upon the subject of asymmetrical information on the marketplace as the central theory. This paper seeks to analyze the Swedish IPO market from 2011 through 2021 and is further limited to Swedish Tech companies listed on Nasdaq First North Growth Market. When a company decides to introduce their stocks onto the market, it is interesting to observe the market trends and the stock price changes from the first day of introduction. Prior studies analyze how stocks are heavily underpriced on the date of introduction as a strategy to spike the value on the first active day on the market, and thereafter slow down their growth in the coming months. Using prior research as a point of reference, the purpose of this paper is to observe how market trends on the day of an IPO affect its long-term performance. This study is based on an observation of 79 IPO:s on First North, where 30% of the cases were underpriced, and 70% were overpriced. The analysis shows that the underpricing of an IPO tends to lead to a positive performance of the stock over the coming 6 months, and the opposite is considered to be true for overpriced stocks. Further analysis of the result implies that the stock's performance follows a negative trend among 50 of the studied cases, independent of the industry trend as a whole. A statistical significance could not be found for underpricing in regard to both the following long-term performance of the stock and the industry trend; therefore, no statistical correlation could be determined.