Sökning: "Forecast Risk"
Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 163 uppsatser innehållade orden Forecast Risk.
1. Forecasting Volatility of Electricity Intraday Log Returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score Models
Master-uppsats, Göteborgs universitet/Graduate SchoolSammanfattning : We forecast volatility of electricity intraday log returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. We extend our GAS models with variables representing the difference between the public’s expectation of weather and energy load and the actual outcome using a restricted ARMA(4,4) model. LÄS MER
2. Volatility Modelling in the Swedish and US Fixed Income Market : A comparative study of GARCH, ARCH, E-GARCH and GJR-GARCH Models on Government Bonds
Kandidat-uppsats, Linköpings universitet/Nationalekonomi; Linköpings universitet/Filosofiska fakultetenSammanfattning : Volatility is an important variable in financial markets, risk management and making investment decisions. Different volatility models are beneficial tools to use when predicting future volatility. The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of various volatility models, including ARCH, GARCH and extensions of the GARCH framework. LÄS MER
3. Anticipating Glacier Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs): an impact-based forecasting framework for managing GLOF risks in Nepal.
Master-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Avdelningen för Riskhantering och SamhällssäkerhetSammanfattning : Glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) are an increasingly documented threat across the Himalayan region, wherein Nepal is situated. GLOFs involve a rapid discharge of water from a lake situated at the side, front, within, beneath, or on the surface of a glacier. LÄS MER
4. Lönsamhet i skogsmarksgödsling för privata markägare i norra Sverige : en jämförelse av lönsamheten i två olika gödslingsstrategier
Uppsats för yrkesexamina på avancerad nivå, SLU/Dept. of Forest EconomicsSammanfattning : Idag involveras åtskilliga sektorer inom bioekonomin med skogsråvaran som bas, bland annat sektorer inom textilier, konstruktion, biopharma och kemikalier. Den globala efterfrågan på skogsråvaran är hög. LÄS MER
5. Portfolio Risk Modelling in Venture Debt
Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistikSammanfattning : This thesis project is an experimental study on how to approach quantitative portfolio credit risk modelling in Venture Debt portfolios. Facing a lack of applicable default data from ArK and publicly available sets, as well as seeking to capture companies that fail to service debt obligations before defaulting per se, we present an approach to risk modeling based on trends in revenue. LÄS MER