Sökning: "dynamic forecast"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 58 uppsatser innehållade orden dynamic forecast.

  1. 1. Anticipating Glacier Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs): an impact-based forecasting framework for managing GLOF risks in Nepal.

    Master-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Avdelningen för Riskhantering och Samhällssäkerhet

    Författare :Grace Muir; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Anticipatory Action; Impact-based Forecasting; Glacier Lake Outburst Flood; Nepal; Risk-informed Early Action; Prediction; Disaster Risk Management; Science General;

    Sammanfattning : Glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) are an increasingly documented threat across the Himalayan region, wherein Nepal is situated. GLOFs involve a rapid discharge of water from a lake situated at the side, front, within, beneath, or on the surface of a glacier. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Hur används prognostisering av personalkostnader vid beslutsfattande? : En kvalitativ och kvantitativ studie som prövar variabler i prognostiseringssyfte för personalkostnader samt prognostiseringenspåverkan på humankapitalet

    Magister-uppsats, Linnéuniversitetet/Institutionen för management (MAN)

    Författare :Julia Henriksson; Magdalena Kärlin; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Prognostisering; prognostiseringsmodell; personalkostnader; humankapital; prognostisering av personalkostnader; nyckeltal; beslutsfattande.;

    Sammanfattning : Background and problem The problem originates in strategic cost accounting. Because of the prevailing condition on the market today, businesses must be aware of their position in the market, their weaknesses and their strengths in order to create and keep its competitiveness. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Portfolio Risk Modelling in Venture Debt

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Författare :John Eriksson; Jacob Holmberg; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Startup Default Probability; Venture Debt; Gaussian Copula; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Exposure at Default; Loss Given Default; Forecast; Linear Dynamic System; ARIMA Time Series; Monte Carlo Simulation; Linear Regression; Central Limit Theorem;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis project is an experimental study on how to approach quantitative portfolio credit risk modelling in Venture Debt portfolios. Facing a lack of applicable default data from ArK and publicly available sets, as well as seeking to capture companies that fail to service debt obligations before defaulting per se, we present an approach to risk modeling based on trends in revenue. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Evaluation of probabilistic forecasts in Uppsala and its potential use in winter road maintenance

    Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära

    Författare :Elisabet Johansson; [2023]
    Nyckelord :forecast evaluation; ensemble system; MetCoOp; winter road maintenance; snow removal; utvärdering; ensembelprognos; MetCoOp; snöröjning; vinterväghållning;

    Sammanfattning : Efficient winter road maintenance is crucial for safety and societal function during the winter months in Sweden. This report aims to evaluate the MetCoOp ensemble system CMEPS and investigate its potential use as a basis for formulating criteria for snow removal that accounts for forecasted weather. LÄS MER

  7. 5. Rare Earth Metals' Resiliency and Volatility Spillover Effects : A Critical Supply Assessment for Western Technologies From a Risk Management Perspective

    Master-uppsats, Linköpings universitet/Nationalekonomi; Linköpings universitet/Filosofiska fakulteten

    Författare :Farzam Ebrahimi; Samuel Elm; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Rare Earth Metals; Interconnectedness; Conditional Volatility; Risk Management; Value at Risk; Event Study;

    Sammanfattning : This paper explores the relationship between Chinese rare earth metals (REMs) and the industries in the U.S and Europe that heavily rely on them. LÄS MER