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Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 48 uppsatser som matchar ovanstående sökkriterier.

  1. 1. Predicting the Movement of the S&P 500 Index using Machine Learning

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen; Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Författare :Bakary Bah; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Machine Learning; S P 500 Index; Random Forest; Logistic Regression; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : Predicting the stock market has been a longstanding topic of interest in financial research. It is regarded as a highly challenging but important task given the vital role the financial markets play in shaping the global economies. In this thesis, the goal is to predict the movement of the S&P 500 Index using machine learning methods. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Credit Index Forecasting: Stability of an Autoregressive Model

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Författare :Melker Wallén; Erik Grimlund; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Credit spreads; Time Series; Credit Risk; Index Modeling; Forecasting; Kreditspreadar; Tidsserier; Kreditrisk; Indexmodellering; Prognoser;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis investigates the robustness and stability of total return series for credit bond index investments. Dueto the challenges which arise for financial institutes and investors in achieving these objectives, we aim to createa forecasting model which matches the statistical properties of historical data, while remaining robust, stable andeasy to calibrate. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Environmental performance and sovereign bond yields: Evidence from emerging markets

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Författare :Kristin Unga; [2023]
    Nyckelord :sovereign yields; environmental performance; principal component analysis; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis analyses if investors price a country’s environmental (E) performance into sovereign bond yields. The sample consists of 17 emerging countries from 2011 to 2020. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Beyond Credit Ratings: The Role of (E)SG in Sovereign Debt Investments

    C-uppsats, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för finansiell ekonomi

    Författare :Oscar Wollmann; Filip Frisk; [2023]
    Nyckelord :ESG rating; Sovereign debt investments; Sovereign bond yields; Sustainability;

    Sammanfattning : The study investigates the correlation between ESG performance and sovereign bond yield spreads using regression analysis. The results reveal a significant negative correlation between the Governance and Social indices and bond spreads, emphasising the importance of good governance practices and social stability in reducing the risk of sovereign debt default. LÄS MER

  7. 5. Forecasting gold returns using principal component analysis from a large number of predictors

    Magister-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen; Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Författare :Fredrik Allgén; [2023]
    Nyckelord :Forecasting; PCA; Gold; ARMA; Business and Economics;

    Sammanfattning : Gold is known in the financial world to be an important asset in unstable periods, especially as a hedge against inflation. If the gold price can be forecasted, it will be possible to strategically invest in gold rather than acquire it as a last-minute hedge against economic downturns. LÄS MER