Sökning: "ensemble projections"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 7 uppsatser innehållade orden ensemble projections.

  1. 1. Change in Thunderstorm Activity in a Projected Warmer Future Climate: a Study over Europe

    Master-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära

    Författare :Wennerdahl Emelie; [2017]
    Nyckelord :Thunder; Convection; Stability Indices; Climate change; Regional Climate Model; RCA4; Åska; konvektion; stabilitetsindex; klimatförändring; regional klimatmodellering; RCA4;

    Sammanfattning : In the last 100 years, a rise in the global mean temperature has been noted, and projections show even higher temperatures in the future. The temperature rise can lead to changes in the weather patterns and therefore the thunderstorm activity in a future warmer climate has been investigated in this study. LÄS MER

  3. 2. Mapping Uncertainties – A case study on a hydraulic model of the river Voxnan.

    Master-uppsats, KTH/Mark- och vattenteknik

    Författare :Sara Andersson; [2015]
    Nyckelord :Hydraulic modelling; Flood inundation map; Uncertainty assess-ment; Climate change; Frequency analysis; Calibration; MIKE 11; Voxnan;

    Sammanfattning : This master thesis gives an account for the numerous uncertainties that prevail one-dimensional hydraulic models and flood inundation maps, as well as suitable assessment methods for different types of uncertainties. A conducted uncertainty assessment on the river Voxnan in Sweden has been performed. LÄS MER

  4. 3. Modeling the potential impact of climate change on the distribution of Western Corn Rootworm in Europe

    Master-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap

    Författare :Tetiana Svystun; [2015]
    Nyckelord :Physical Geography and Ecosystem analysis; Western corn rootworm; temperature requirements; impact model; population establishment; Earth and Environmental Sciences;

    Sammanfattning : The Western Corn Rootworm (WCR), Diabrotica virgifera virgifera, is an important insect pest of corn, which has been introduced into Europe from Northern America in 1980s. Since then, its distributional range is continuously expanding over the Central and South-Eastern Europe. LÄS MER

  5. 4. Effect of climate change on soil temperature and snow dynamics in Swedish boreal forests

    Uppsats för yrkesexamina på avancerad nivå, Institutionen för geovetenskaper

    Författare :Gunnar Jungqvist; [2013]
    Nyckelord :Impact modeling; climate change; soil temperature; snow dynamics; ensemble projections; Ekosystemmodellering; klimatförändringar; marktemperatur; snödynamik;

    Sammanfattning : This thesis has investigated the possibility of improved soil temperature modeling using an updated version of an existing soil temperature model frequently used in catchment scale biogeochemical modeling. Future (2061-2090) snow dynamics and soil temperature was projected using ensemble of bias-corrected regional climate models (RCM). LÄS MER

  7. 5. Assessing the impacts of climate change on runoff along a climatic gradient of Sweden using PERSiST

    Uppsats för yrkesexamina på avancerad nivå, Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för geovetenskaper

    Författare :Tobias Salmonsson; [2013]
    Nyckelord :Climate change; runoff; PERSiST; climatic gradient; spring flood; Klimatförändringar; avrinning; PERSiST; klimatgradient; vårflod;

    Sammanfattning : Climate change is a well-studied subject but large uncertainties still exist in future projections. These uncertainties are even larger on future runoff projections at catchment scales due to the differences in local landscape factors. LÄS MER