Sökning: "opinion polls"

Visar resultat 1 - 5 av 50 uppsatser innehållade orden opinion polls.

1. 1. Exploration of using Twitter data to predict Swedish political opinion polls with neural networks

   Master-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

   Författare :Alexander Gren; Klara Lundgren; [2023]
   Nyckelord :Mathematics and Statistics;

   Sammanfattning : This thesis aims to explore the possibility of using deep learning techniques to mine opinions on Twitter, with the objective to predict the political opinion distribution in Sweden. Different methods of gathering and annotating training data are evaluated to achieve accurate and reliable predictions. LÄS MER

3. 2. Politicians’ Instagram personas in relation to Swedish politics : A discourse analysis of personas from a gender point of view of Swedish political party leaders’ Instagram accounts

   Magister-uppsats, Karlstads universitet/Centrum för genusforskning (from 2013)

   Författare :Emelie Bröms; [2022]
   Nyckelord :gender performativity; persona; rhetoric; social media; Instagram; politics; party leaders; political communication; Sweden; persona; retorik; sociala medier; Instagram; partiledare; politik; politisk kommunikation; Sverige; persona; performativitet;

   Sammanfattning : This essay aims to investigate how the leaders for the Swedish parliamentary parties appear on their official Instagram accounts. By conducting a discourse analysis, looking at both text, visual images, and the combination of the two in the Instagram posts, the intention is to analyse how gender is being performed through the rhetorical concept of persona. LÄS MER

4. 3. Comparing forecast combinations to traditional time series forcasting models : An application into Swedish public opinion

   Kandidat-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

   Författare :Hanna Hamberg; [2022]
   Nyckelord :statistics; forecast; election; polls; ARIMA; exponential smoothing; forecast combinations;

   Sammanfattning : The objective of this paper is to retrospectively evaluate forecast models for polling data, to be used prospectively for the Swedish general election in 2022. One of the simplest ways of forecasting an election result is through opinion polls, and using the latest observation as the forecast. LÄS MER

5. 4. Mindre partier och nedslående opinionsundersökningar : En kvalitativ studie om hur dåliga opinionssiffror påverkar små riksdagspartier och deras ageranden

   Kandidat-uppsats, Uppsala universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen

   Författare :Markus Melkersson; Diana Taburno; [2022]
   Nyckelord :opinion polls; swedish politics; Tryggvason; party secretary; strategies; strategy; interviews; interview; qualitative metod; elites; opinionsundersökningar; svensk politik; Tryggvason; partisekreterare; strategier; strategi; intervju; intervjuer; kvalitativ metod; eliter;

   Sammanfattning : The purpose of this thesis is partly to analyze the influence of opinion polls on minor parties in the Swedish parliament and partly to study how those minor parties react to poor results in opinion polls. Previous research in the field has been conducted by researchers such as Per Oleskog Tryggvason, who constructed four arenas; internal, electoral, media and parliamentary, in which parties tend to respond to changes in opinion polls. LÄS MER

7. 5. Rätt sida femprocentsspärren

   Kandidat-uppsats, Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

   Författare :Mårten Augustsson; Ida Haggren; [2022]
   Nyckelord :Opinion polls; sampling theory; bayesian statistics; multinomial distribution; dirichlet distribution.; Mathematics and Statistics;

   Sammanfattning : This bachelor’s thesis in statistics explores frequentist and bayesian methods for parameter estimation and compares their usefulness when applied to opinion polls of party sympathies in the Swedish political system. Through simulation in R, random samples are generated from a population modelled after the Swedish electorate at various points during the 2010s and 2020s. LÄS MER